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West Pharmaceutical Services Stock Drops 33% as Underwhelming 2025 Forecast Sparks Concerns

Hannah Perry | February 14, 2025

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West Pharmaceutical Services Stock Plummets 33% After Disappointing Guidance

West Pharmaceutical Services Inc. (WST) saw its stock plummet a staggering 33% on Thursday, leading the S&P 500 decliners. This historic drop marks the company’s largest single-day decline since it began trading data collection in March 1980. The severe downturn follows an announcement by the company regarding its guidance for 2025, which fell considerably short of Wall Street expectations.

Disappointing 2025 Guidance

Despite reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, West Pharma’s stock dropped sharply as the company projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 to be between $6.00 and $6.20. This is significantly lower than the $7.34 projected by analysts on FactSet. Additionally, the company’s anticipated sales for the year range from $2.875 billion to $2.905 billion, lagging behind the FactSet consensus estimate of $3.027 billion.

The underwhelming guidance was attributed to various factors, including a projected 23-cent EPS headwind due to a strong dollar, increased incentive compensation, and plans for $275 million in capital expenditures aimed at supporting future growth initiatives.

Strategic Customer Relationships Shift

In a surprising strategic move, West Pharma announced it would be pulling back from two major customers that manufacture next-generation continuous glucose monitoring devices, which are widely used by diabetics. During an earnings call, CEO Eric Green explained, “We have made the decision to not participate going forward, as our financial thresholds cannot be achieved.” One customer has already begun to exit the relationship, and the second is planning to withdraw by mid-2026. Green expressed that while the initial partnership proved profitable, the current economic landscape no longer offers viable returns.

Opportunities in the GLP-1 Drug Market

Despite these setbacks, West Pharma’s executives see potential within the GLP-1 space—an emerging class of medication used for diabetes management and weight loss. Currently dominated by firms like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly Co., this class is primarily injectable, and West Pharma specializes in manufacturing self-injection devices tailored for these drugs. The company is ramping up production at its plants in Dublin and Grand Rapids, with expectations of increased revenues as they reach full capacity in mid-2025. CFO Bernard J. Birkett noted, “Our experience with new installations is that they take up to 18 months to achieve close to full capacity.”

Quarterly Financial Highlights

During the fourth quarter, West Pharma reported a net income of $130.1 million, translating to $1.78 per share. This reflects a slight decrease from the $137 million or $1.83 per share reported in the same quarter a year prior. The company’s sales grew from $732 million to $748.8 million, surpassing the FactSet consensus target of $740 million. This growth was driven primarily by its proprietary products segment, which saw sales rise to $613.9 million, achieving a 74% contribution from high-value products, particularly self-injection devices.

The biologics segment experienced high-single-digit organic sales growth, while the pharmaceutical market exhibited mid-single-digit organic growth. However, the generics sector recorded a mid-single-digit decline, and sales from contract-manufactured products also dropped to $22.9 million, partially offset by a rise in self-injection device sales.

Market Reactions and Future Prospects

West Pharma’s stock is on track for its lowest closing price since November 17, 2022. Following the disappointing guidance and the strategic withdrawal from lucrative partnerships, analysts and investors are closely monitoring West Pharma’s plans to capitalize on new opportunities, particularly in the growing GLP-1 market. With significant investment directed toward growth initiatives, the company remains optimistic about long-term stability despite current fluctuations.

The recent developments have undoubtedly sent shockwaves through the market, igniting discussions around the sustainability of business models in a rapidly evolving pharmaceutical landscape. As more companies pursue innovative solutions for diabetes and other chronic conditions, West Pharmaceutical Services will need to pivot effectively to regain investor trust and foster growth in a challenging climate.