Apollo CEO Warns of AI Bubble Bursting

TipsForTraders | February 27, 2024

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In the latest edition of Tips4Traders, we delve into the burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) market, a sector that has captivated investors and analysts alike with its explosive growth and unprecedented valuations. Amidst this fervor, a voice from Apollo Global Management has sounded a note of caution, likening the current AI bubble to the infamous tech bubble of the 1990s.

“The top 10 companies in the S&P 500 today are more overvalued than the top 10 companies were during the tech bubble in the mid-1990s,” observed Torsten Sløk, chief economist at Apollo, shedding light on the magnitude of the market’s current exuberance in The Daily Spark, as reported by This statement comes at a time when the AI industry, led by chipmaking behemoth Nvidia, is reaching new heights of market valuation and investor interest.

Nvidia, a name synonymous with the cutting-edge of chip technology, recently achieved a historic milestone by becoming the first company in the semiconductor industry to boast a $2 trillion market valuation. This landmark achievement, spurred by the AI boom, saw Nvidia outpacing giants such as Amazon and Google’s parent company, Alphabet, to claim the title of the third-most valuable company in the U.S. by market capitalization. The company’s financial performance has been nothing short of stellar, with a 270% increase in revenues from the previous year to $22 billion in the fourth quarter, far surpassing Wall Street predictions.

“Accelerated computing and generative AI have hit the tipping point,” proclaimed Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang. “Demand is surging worldwide across companies, industries, and nations.” Huang’s optimism reflects a broader sentiment about the potential of AI technology to revolutionize industries and economies.

However, amidst this enthusiasm, there are voices urging caution and deliberation. “Another blockbuster quarter from Nvidia raises the question of how long its soaring performance will last,” commented Jacob Bourne, a senior analyst at Insider Intelligence. “Nvidia’s near-term market strength is durable, though not invincible.” This sentiment is echoed by some investors and analysts who ponder the sustainability of such meteoric growth in the face of potential market corrections.

Contrasting these cautionary stances, a study from Citigroup offers a more reassuring perspective on the AI market’s robustness. “The AI bubble is not in trouble, and, if anything, earnings performance suggests that it is less of a bubble to begin with,” noted a team of quantitative strategists at Citigroup. They argue that strong performance leading into earnings, exemplified by Nvidia’s 16% rise on its earnings day, bodes well for continued success in the subsequent months.

As we navigate through these exhilarating yet uncertain times in the AI market, the diverging views of market analysts and financial experts serve as a reminder of the complexities and risks inherent in investing in cutting-edge technologies. Whether the current AI boom represents a bubble on the brink of bursting or the dawn of a new era in technological innovation remains a subject of debate. However, one thing is clear: the AI industry’s trajectory will be a critical area to watch for investors and traders seeking to stay ahead in the rapidly evolving landscape of global markets.