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Palantir: Can This High-Flyer Keep Defying Gravity in the AI Boom?

lovely | September 3, 2024

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Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR) has recently captured the market’s attention, with its stock price surging over 10% following a robust Q2 2024 earnings report on August 5. Not only did the company exceed analysts’ expectations, but it also raised its full-year guidance, leading to an 87% year-over-year gain for PLTR stock. As investors continue to hunt for top AI plays, Palantir’s momentum remains a focal point.

However, in recent trading sessions, Palantir experienced a minor pullback, along with a broader decline in AI stocks led by Nvidia post-earnings. Despite this dip, Palantir’s growth in AI-driven models and increasing traction among commercial clients remain key strengths that bolster its investment case. A strategic partnership with Microsoft further reinforces the argument that this high-priced stock may still have room to grow, even at its current valuation.

The Price Conundrum: High Valuation, High Potential?

Palantir is undeniably one of the most expensive stocks in the current market, trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 29. This valuation metric will likely deter many value-oriented investors. However, the bull case for Palantir remains compelling for those who believe in its potential to ride the next wave of AI growth.

The company’s latest earnings report revealed a solid Q2 performance, with revenue climbing 27% year-over-year to $678 million. Adjusted earnings grew even faster, increasing by 80% to 9 cents per share, marking a significant step toward consistent profitability for a company that had long struggled to break even. This consistent margin improvement and growth trajectory are central to the recent surge in PLTR’s stock price.

A Closer Look at AI Growth Drivers

A critical catalyst behind Palantir’s recent growth has been the rapid adoption of its AI Platform (AIP) by commercial clients. This segment alone has driven a 47% increase in U.S. commercial revenue, now exceeding $672 million for the year. Moreover, Palantir’s management has significantly raised its internal expectations for AI infrastructure sales, projecting a total addressable market (TAM) of $600 billion, up from $200 billion last year. This tripling of TAM indicates strong confidence in the company’s AI capabilities and its growth potential.

Conclusion: Is Palantir Worth the Premium?

While Palantir’s valuation remains a point of contention, its recent performance and strategic positioning in the AI sector suggest that the company could still offer upside for growth-focused investors. The robust demand for its AI-driven solutions, combined with new partnerships and an expanding TAM, presents a unique opportunity in a rapidly evolving market. For those willing to pay a premium, Palantir remains a potentially rewarding play on the AI boom.