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CVS Health Faces Historic Stock Plunge Amid Bipartisan Pressure and Criticism

Hannah Perry | December 18, 2024

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CVS Faces Historic Stock Decline Amid Bipartisan Criticism

CVS Health Corp. is experiencing one of the worst months in its history, with its stock price headed towards a twelve-year closing low. Recent bipartisan criticisms from both the right and the left have left CVS and other pharmacy-benefit managers (PBMs) under significant scrutiny, raising questions about the future of these companies.

Criticism from Both Sides of the Aisle

Former President Donald Trump recently made headlines by labeling PBMs as “horrible” middlemen, contributing to the inflated costs of prescription drugs in the United States. During a press conference, Trump stated that Americans pay far too much for prescription medications compared to other countries and pledged to “knock out the middleman.”

This criticism isn’t isolated. Last week, bipartisan legislation was introduced by Massachusetts Democrat Elizabeth Warren and Missouri Republican Josh Hawley, urging companies that own health insurers or PBMs to divest their pharmacy businesses. Such a stance highlights the growing dissatisfaction with the healthcare system and the perceived role of PBMs in driving up drug prices.

CVS’s Recent Financial Struggles

CVS Health Corp. is undoubtedly feeling the impact of these critiques. As of Tuesday morning, CVS shares dropped 2.9%, placing the company on track for its lowest stock close since November 2012. The stock price has plummeted approximately 24.4% in December alone, marking what could be the worst monthly performance since October 2001 when it fell by 28%.

CVS’s troubles are compounded by a broader issue impacting the PBM sector. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) recently filed lawsuits against PBMs owned by CVS, UnitedHealth, and Cigna, accusing them of artificially inflating prices for essential medicines like insulin. CVS operates as a PBM through its CVS Caremark division, which accounted for 34% of its total revenue of $95.4 billion in the latest quarter.

Market Share Challenges and Stock Performance

Analyst Ann Hynes from Mizuho indicated that CVS may have lost significant market share during the recent Medicare Annual Enrollment Period, which closed on December 7. She noted that CVS diversified its Medicare Advantage plans excessively, potentially leading to overextension of its benefits.

This drop in confidence in CVS’s market position comes as competitors face challenges as well. UnitedHealth has seen its stock fall by 21.5% in December, with CEO Andrew Witty acknowledging the need for healthcare reform, while Cigna’s stock is similarly trending towards a yearly low after a 21.5% dive this month.

Analyst Responses and Future Predictions

Despite the turbulence, some analysts remain optimistic about CVS’s long-term prospects. Morgan Stanley analyst Erin Wright advised investors to resist joining the “sell” bandwagon. While acknowledging the political headwinds and uncertainty the company faces, Wright mentioned that previous attempts at PBM reform have stalled and that the ongoing regulatory landscape could still favor CVS.

Wright maintained her overweight rating on CVS stock, setting a price target of $63, which represents an approximately 39% upside from the current trading levels. This suggests that while CVS is currently fraught with challenges, there remains potential for recovery, contingent on its ability to navigate the changing political and regulatory environment effectively.

Conclusion: A Turning Point for CVS Health

The challenges faced by CVS Health Corp. underscore a moment of reckoning for PBMs and the broader pharmaceutical industry. As criticism mounts from varied political stripes and regulatory scrutiny intensifies, CVS must adapt and respond to these pressures. Whether the company can regain investor confidence and stabilize its stock remains to be seen, but analysts indicate that strategic adjustments could pave the way toward recovery.

In summary, CVS stands at a critical crossroads; its next moves will be pivotal in defining its market position in an increasingly turbulent sector. Stakeholders and investors will be closely monitoring CVS’s actions as the healthcare landscape continues to evolve.