Blog

Nvidia Stock Plummets: What Every Trader Needs to Know About the Export Control Crisis and Market Trends

Hannah Perry | April 17, 2025

Responsive image

Nvidia Stock Takes a Hit: Key Insights for Traders on Trend

Nvidia Faces Export Control Storm

Nvidia, a titan in the tech space and a darling among investors, has hit a rough patch following a staggering announcement regarding export controls. In a filing made earlier this week, the company disclosed a shocking **$5.5 billion charge** related to its H20 graphics processing units (GPUs) due to newly imposed restrictions on shipments to China and other nations. These shipments will now require a **U.S. government license**, creating a cloud of uncertainty around Nvidia’s previously bullish sales projections.

The H20 chip, which was crafted under the Biden administration to adhere to earlier regulations that limited the export of advanced AI processors to China, was poised to be a major revenue contributor, with expectations of generating **$12 billion to $15 billion in sales** in 2024. However, this new regulatory landscape threatens those projections, sending Nvidia shares down **7%** and weighing heavily on its stock performance.

The Broader Market Context

These developments do not exist in a vacuum. The stock has already faced significant headwinds, plunging **22%** in 2025 due to several factors:

  • The emergence of a cheaper Chinese AI model dubbed **DeepSeek**.
  • Disappointing earnings results.
  • A broader market downtrend amid rising economic uncertainties.

Traders should take these factors into account; Nvidia is currently at a pivotal point where external pressures threaten its robust potential in the AI sector.

Wall Street’s Reaction: Analysts Weigh In

Chris Versace, a veteran fund manager at TheStreet Pro Portfolio, shared his insights on the rapidly changing landscape for Nvidia. He remarks that the company could become a **”pawn in Trump’s negotiating with China,”** indicating that future U.S.-China trade discussions may bring further volatility.

Consequently, Versace has lowered Nvidia’s price target from **$175 to $150** but maintains a **“Buy Now”** rating, emphasizing Nvidia’s prime position within the booming AI and data center markets. He also suggested that while the current quarter may only see **modest impact**, the impending quarters are likely to reveal more pronounced effects as global dynamics continue to shift.

For traders, Versace’s analysis is actionable: keep a close eye on market conditions and consider revisiting Nvidia’s standing after the upcoming quarterly earnings release from **Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC)**.

Versace initially added Nvidia to his portfolio in February 2024, and it currently constitutes **3.7%** of his holdings, boasting an average return of **20.6%**. His confidence in Nvidia’s long-term prospects remains steadfast.

Other Analyst Takes on Nvidia

In light of the recent turmoil, other analysts have chimed in as well. Prior to Nvidia’s latest disclosure:

– **DA Davidson** has trimmed its price target for Nvidia from **$125 to $120**, opting to maintain a **neutral rating**. Their analysis points to the risk of **negative GDP growth** as a potential detractor for growth expectations and valuations. They also foresee a slowdown in consumer and corporate investments, irrespective of the tariff outcomes.

Traders should stay agile and responsive to these shifting dynamics, as the convergence of market sentiment and regulatory changes could pose significant implications for Nvidia’s stock trajectory.

Final Thoughts for Traders

In the fast-paced world of trading, the spotlight is undoubtedly on Nvidia, and the recent export control news serves as a crucial pivot point. For those holding shares, the next few quarters will be vital to gauge how well the company can navigate this regulatory maze while capitalizing on its formidable AI capabilities.

If you’re considering entering this trade, assess your risk tolerance and stay updated on broader market trends. Remember, the market rewards the prepared trader! Buoyed by its strong foundation in AI and cloud sectors, Nvidia still presents opportunities, but timing and agility will be essential.

Keep your eyes peeled and your strategies sharp, and let’s ride the trends effectively!